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Red196
437792.2
598945.1
566074.7
Blue350
607784.3
570989.4
658141.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184180150200250300350196350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#12
92.22.6
73.375.9
Auto10.9
Teleop36.5
End44.8
red by 2.8
89.45.1
72.877.9
Auto12.6
Teleop41.4
End35.3
Second
5660
#27
74.71.6
67.268.8
Auto8.0
Teleop36.9
End29.8
blue by 9.6
6077
#31
84.35.1
65.470.4
Auto7.7
Teleop38.1
End38.5
Third
5989
#38
45.11.6
31.833.4
Auto8.1
Teleop31.2
End5.7
red by 3.7
6581
#32
41.35.1
35.640.7
Auto9.3
Teleop28.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed