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Red421
608860.6
5509113.4
439284.4
Blue195
258678.8
5501108.1
634548.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223213150200250300350400421195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.49.0
95.5104.5
Auto10.7
Teleop52.8
End49.9
red by 5.3
108.10.6
91.691.0
Auto11.4
Teleop47.3
End49.4
Second
4392
#13
84.49.0
61.870.8
Auto9.3
Teleop42.3
End32.9
red by 5.6
2586
#11
78.80.6
73.472.9
Auto7.8
Teleop29.9
End41.1
Third
6088
#20
60.69.0
53.162.2
Auto6.2
Teleop29.2
End25.2
red by 12.5
6345
#29
48.20.6
38.437.8
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsEarned0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed