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Red255
607784.3
498870.9
611382.1
Blue260
655892.4
437577.9
570260.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19620805001,0001,5002,000255260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6077
#31
84.34.5
71.776.1
Auto7.7
Teleop38.1
End38.5
blue by 8.1
92.44.0
83.587.5
Auto7.2
Teleop42.0
End43.2
Second
6113
#22
82.14.5
59.363.8
Auto7.1
Teleop37.3
End37.7
red by 4.1
4375
#10
77.94.0
60.564.5
Auto10.1
Teleop38.3
End29.6
Third
70.94.5
56.961.4
Auto8.0
Teleop40.5
End22.5
red by 10.3
5702
#30
60.64.0
51.755.6
Auto9.3
Teleop36.3
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed