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Red170
658141.3
483553.0
548656.5
Blue206
656979.8
498870.9
598945.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158189050100250300350170206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5486
#25
56.50.7
53.253.9
Auto5.5
Teleop27.6
End23.3
blue by 23.3
6569
#15
79.82.0
70.872.8
Auto11.0
Teleop38.0
End30.7
Second
4835
#33
53.00.7
50.951.6
Auto8.1
Teleop27.6
End17.4
blue by 17.9
70.92.0
66.968.9
Auto8.0
Teleop40.5
End22.5
Third
6581
#32
41.30.7
50.551.2
Auto9.3
Teleop28.7
End3.4
blue by 3.7
5989
#38
45.12.0
37.739.8
Auto8.1
Teleop31.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed