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Red215
570260.6
438189.6
483553.0
Blue385
3452105.8
159696.5
611242.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209246100300400500215385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#26
89.60.8
87.888.5
Auto13.2
Teleop37.6
End38.8
blue by 16.1
105.85.1
101.5106.6
Auto10.9
Teleop45.1
End49.8
Second
5702
#30
60.60.8
64.264.9
Auto9.3
Teleop36.3
End15.0
blue by 35.9
96.55.1
93.798.8
Auto9.4
Teleop45.4
End41.8
Third
4835
#33
53.00.8
51.652.4
Auto8.1
Teleop27.6
End17.4
red by 10.5
6112
#34
42.55.1
33.638.7
Auto5.7
Teleop29.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed