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Red288
653898.9
5048101.6
5155110.6
Blue260
2075108.8
285190.5
561296.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343312150200250400450500550288260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5155
#12
110.60.7
113.3112.6
Auto12.1
Teleop53.2
End45.3
red by 1.8
2075
#23
108.81.4
110.2108.7
Auto10.3
Teleop39.0
End59.5
Second
101.60.7
104.3103.6
Auto10.0
Teleop36.2
End55.4
red by 4.8
5612
#11
96.71.4
98.196.6
Auto6.8
Teleop43.0
End46.9
Third
6538
#13
98.90.7
101.6100.9
Auto8.8
Teleop42.5
End47.5
red by 8.4
90.51.4
91.890.4
Auto7.1
Teleop43.0
End40.4