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Red190
90482.8
586082.8
361955.4
Blue193
634485.9
1189102.4
516768.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2112040100300400500190193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#17
82.80.6
79.879.2
Auto12.1
Teleop35.8
End34.9
blue by 19.6
102.40.1
81.080.9
Auto12.5
Teleop46.6
End43.4
Second
5860
#26
82.80.6
72.371.6
Auto7.9
Teleop33.5
End41.4
blue by 3.1
85.90.1
60.260.1
Auto9.9
Teleop38.5
End37.4
Third
3619
#29
55.40.6
47.647.0
Auto5.5
Teleop35.6
End14.3
blue by 13.0
5167
#31
68.30.1
53.253.1
Auto9.6
Teleop36.1
End22.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed