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Red325
170189.0
2075108.8
68118.1
Blue362
1684112.3
611991.1
1189102.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331253100200300400500600700325362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#3
118.11.4
113.9115.3
Auto8.1
Teleop57.0
End53.1
red by 5.9
112.36.7
95.1101.8
Auto15.5
Teleop55.5
End41.3
Second
2075
#23
108.81.4
97.899.2
Auto10.3
Teleop39.0
End59.5
red by 6.4
102.46.7
75.982.6
Auto12.5
Teleop46.6
End43.4
Third
1701
#15
89.01.4
92.694.0
Auto9.2
Teleop36.6
End43.2
blue by 2.1
6119
#20
91.16.7
80.186.8
Auto8.9
Teleop42.1
End40.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed