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Red305
507298.4
90482.8
601349.3
Blue155
477986.9
5150113.8
663346.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216258100300400500305155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5072
#27
98.46.3
89.695.9
Auto9.3
Teleop42.5
End46.6
blue by 15.3
5150
#19
113.85.7
115.2109.6
Auto14.6
Teleop47.9
End51.3
Second
904
#17
82.86.3
80.186.3
Auto12.1
Teleop35.8
End34.9
blue by 4.1
86.95.7
81.275.6
Auto13.1
Teleop50.1
End23.7
Third
6013
#37
49.36.3
41.247.4
Auto11.7
Teleop30.2
End7.5
red by 2.6
6633
#40
46.75.7
43.337.6
Auto5.7
Teleop33.5
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed