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Red215
413081.5
602090.0
507298.4
Blue236
601970.9
285190.5
521575.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289222100400500215236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5072
#27
98.43.4
101.297.8
Auto9.3
Teleop42.5
End46.6
red by 8.0
90.51.1
82.883.9
Auto7.1
Teleop43.0
End40.4
Second
6020
#10
90.03.4
87.684.2
Auto10.5
Teleop37.2
End42.3
red by 14.3
5215
#38
75.71.1
69.870.9
Auto5.5
Teleop32.1
End38.1
Third
4130
#25
81.53.4
76.973.6
Auto11.6
Teleop31.9
End37.9
red by 10.6
6019
#18
70.91.1
67.168.1
Auto7.6
Teleop47.0
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed