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Red315
586082.8
612063.9
413081.5
Blue205
68118.1
592678.4
601349.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2112600100300400500315205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5860
#26
82.80.5
73.574.0
Auto7.9
Teleop33.5
End41.4
blue by 35.3
68
#3
118.12.4
113.0110.6
Auto8.1
Teleop57.0
End53.1
Second
4130
#25
81.50.5
73.674.1
Auto11.6
Teleop31.9
End37.9
red by 3.1
5926
#22
78.42.4
80.177.8
Auto7.3
Teleop39.2
End31.9
Third
6120
#34
63.90.5
60.060.5
Auto2.3
Teleop33.4
End28.2
red by 14.5
6013
#37
49.32.4
47.545.1
Auto11.7
Teleop30.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed