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Red140
552770.0
656738.5
170189.0
Blue310
521575.7
584391.7
68118.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2153010100400500140310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#15
89.05.1
97.592.4
Auto9.2
Teleop36.6
End43.2
blue by 29.1
68
#3
118.12.3
110.6113.0
Auto8.1
Teleop57.0
End53.1
Second
5527
#35
70.05.1
71.366.2
Auto8.0
Teleop37.5
End24.5
blue by 21.7
5843
#16
91.72.3
95.698.0
Auto12.6
Teleop44.2
End34.9
Third
6567
#36
38.55.1
47.342.2
Auto4.9
Teleop30.7
End2.9
blue by 37.1
5215
#38
75.72.3
68.771.0
Auto5.5
Teleop32.1
End38.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed