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Red449
170189.0
1684112.3
217118.0
Blue316
5150113.8
1189102.4
516768.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351292100200400500600449316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#2
118.00.6
118.5119.2
Auto10.0
Teleop50.3
End57.7
red by 4.2
5150
#19
113.80.7
113.5114.3
Auto14.6
Teleop47.9
End51.3
Second
112.30.6
112.8113.4
Auto15.5
Teleop55.5
End41.3
red by 9.8
102.40.7
102.2102.9
Auto12.5
Teleop46.6
End43.4
Third
1701
#15
89.00.6
89.690.2
Auto9.2
Teleop36.6
End43.2
red by 20.7
5167
#31
68.30.7
68.168.8
Auto9.6
Teleop36.1
End22.7