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Red315
566155.7
1506119.5
3770109.4
Blue165
2619100.3
516688.9
602074.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301282150200250350400450315165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.50.5
119.0119.5
Auto13.2
Teleop46.5
End59.8
red by 19.2
2619
#10
100.32.3
102.6100.3
Auto17.6
Teleop46.3
End36.4
Second
109.40.5
108.9109.4
Auto15.1
Teleop52.6
End41.7
red by 20.5
88.92.3
91.288.9
Auto6.7
Teleop35.3
End46.8
Third
5661
#37
55.70.5
55.355.7
Auto5.4
Teleop29.0
End21.3
blue by 18.7
6020
#27
74.42.3
76.774.4
Auto9.4
Teleop33.4
End31.6