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Red165
606774.7
523163.0
70384.6
Blue195
654566.8
550993.9
607189.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1581870100300400165195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
703
#19
84.61.2
52.954.1
Auto11.8
Teleop29.2
End43.6
blue by 9.2
93.92.4
59.261.5
Auto10.8
Teleop48.2
End34.9
Second
6067
#20
74.70.7
55.856.5
Auto7.3
Teleop39.4
End28.0
blue by 14.4
89.11.6
56.858.4
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End45.8
Third
5231
#30
63.01.2
45.546.7
Auto6.7
Teleop27.5
End28.8
blue by 3.8
6545
#17
66.81.6
57.759.3
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End27.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed