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Red256
658260.6
1506119.5
602074.4
Blue190
654566.8
544756.7
649350.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22616450100200250300350400256190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.53.3
105.3108.6
Auto13.2
Teleop46.5
End59.8
red by 52.7
6545
#17
66.81.7
59.361.1
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End27.6
Second
6020
#27
74.45.5
51.857.3
Auto9.4
Teleop33.4
End31.6
red by 17.7
5447
#38
56.71.7
56.458.1
Auto4.5
Teleop35.6
End16.6
Third
6582
#28
60.65.5
49.655.1
Auto8.8
Teleop38.5
End13.3
red by 10.0
6493
#29
50.72.9
48.351.2
Auto2.7
Teleop22.6
End25.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed