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Red255
603382.5
649350.7
6753107.2
Blue235
550993.9
522278.0
521678.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2422680100200300400500600700255235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.21.4
104.7106.1
Auto12.8
Teleop45.3
End49.1
red by 13.3
93.91.2
93.191.9
Auto10.8
Teleop48.2
End34.9
Second
6033
#12
82.51.4
80.081.4
Auto8.9
Teleop38.2
End35.5
red by 4.1
5216
#22
78.41.2
80.979.7
Auto6.0
Teleop45.7
End26.8
Third
6493
#29
50.71.6
49.150.7
Auto2.7
Teleop22.6
End25.4
blue by 27.3
5222
#13
78.01.1
77.176.0
Auto5.9
Teleop40.6
End31.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed