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Red181
357081.3
495674.9
663146.5
Blue95
659776.1
548741.6
607870.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17118410015020025030018195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3570
#29
81.31.1
85.286.3
Auto5.1
Teleop32.9
End43.2
red by 5.2
6597
#18
76.15.2
53.047.8
Auto5.8
Teleop34.3
End36.0
Second
4956
#16
74.91.1
51.352.4
Auto11.1
Teleop41.2
End22.6
red by 4.1
6078
#39
70.85.2
62.957.7
Auto7.5
Teleop33.9
End29.4
Third
6631
#24
46.51.1
27.628.7
Auto6.1
Teleop27.1
End13.4
red by 4.9
5487
#38
41.65.2
57.552.3
Auto4.3
Teleop33.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed