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Red282
659550.0
553881.4
2337125.1
Blue235
661149.7
610291.9
107103.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2582350100200300400500600700282235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.12.3
120.5122.8
Auto22.5
Teleop49.5
End53.1
red by 21.4
107
#33
103.70.6
87.487.9
Auto12.0
Teleop48.1
End43.6
Second
5538
#11
81.42.3
72.174.4
Auto8.9
Teleop33.3
End39.1
blue by 10.5
6102
#21
91.90.6
91.291.8
Auto8.7
Teleop39.8
End43.4
Third
6595
#40
50.02.3
49.952.2
Auto7.0
Teleop23.5
End19.5
red by 0.3
6611
#32
49.70.6
48.148.6
Auto4.0
Teleop32.5
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
3%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed