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Red255
659776.1
610291.9
495674.9
Blue245
655085.8
571458.8
562273.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23421205001,0001,5002,0002,500255245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6102
#21
91.92.4
91.894.1
Auto8.7
Teleop39.8
End43.4
red by 6.1
85.82.7
81.283.9
Auto8.9
Teleop37.2
End39.7
Second
6597
#18
76.12.4
63.866.1
Auto5.8
Teleop34.3
End36.0
red by 3.1
5622
#34
73.02.7
68.371.0
Auto9.6
Teleop32.8
End30.6
Third
4956
#16
74.92.4
63.766.1
Auto11.1
Teleop41.2
End22.6
red by 16.1
5714
#19
58.82.7
54.857.5
Auto4.5
Teleop26.9
End27.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed