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Red230
655085.8
495674.9
607870.8
Blue237
24797.4
571458.8
553881.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231238150200300350400230237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.81.0
83.982.9
Auto8.9
Teleop37.2
End39.7
blue by 11.7
247
#5
97.40.8
91.892.6
Auto8.7
Teleop44.0
End44.7
Second
4956
#16
74.91.0
66.165.0
Auto11.1
Teleop41.2
End22.6
blue by 6.5
5538
#11
81.40.8
76.276.9
Auto8.9
Teleop33.3
End39.1
Third
6078
#39
70.81.0
70.569.5
Auto7.5
Teleop33.9
End29.4
red by 12.0
5714
#19
58.80.8
57.558.3
Auto4.5
Teleop26.9
End27.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed