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Red299
587864.3
910106.9
610291.9
Blue306
610076.6
107103.7
659776.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27925105001,0001,5002,000299306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#3
106.92.5
108.8111.3
Auto17.1
Teleop45.8
End44.1
red by 3.2
107
#33
103.74.3
98.0102.2
Auto12.0
Teleop48.1
End43.6
Second
6102
#21
91.92.5
90.993.4
Auto8.7
Teleop39.8
End43.4
red by 15.2
6100
#15
76.64.3
72.476.6
Auto9.4
Teleop35.4
End31.9
Third
5878
#28
64.32.5
61.864.3
Auto7.2
Teleop42.1
End15.0
blue by 11.8
6597
#18
76.14.3
71.876.1
Auto5.8
Teleop34.3
End36.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed