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Red455
556779.8
3620105.0
276793.8
Blue235
354696.8
8588.7
440966.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295261100200400500455235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.01.8
104.0105.7
Auto14.5
Teleop56.0
End34.5
red by 8.2
96.80.4
97.096.6
Auto13.5
Teleop49.4
End33.8
Second
93.81.8
92.894.6
Auto7.3
Teleop41.0
End45.6
red by 5.1
85
#2
88.70.4
89.088.6
Auto8.0
Teleop39.0
End41.7
Third
5567
#20
79.81.8
78.880.5
Auto12.8
Teleop32.4
End34.5
red by 13.4
4409
#21
66.30.4
66.666.2
Auto6.7
Teleop28.4
End31.2