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Red324
556779.8
3620105.0
276793.8
Blue255
354696.8
8588.7
440966.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300259100150200350400450324255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.00.1
105.1105.0
Auto14.5
Teleop56.0
End34.5
red by 8.2
96.80.1
96.796.8
Auto13.5
Teleop49.4
End33.8
Second
93.80.1
93.993.8
Auto7.3
Teleop41.0
End45.6
red by 5.1
85
#2
88.70.1
88.788.7
Auto8.0
Teleop39.0
End41.7
Third
5567
#20
79.80.1
79.979.8
Auto12.8
Teleop32.4
End34.5
red by 13.4
4409
#21
66.30.1
66.366.3
Auto6.7
Teleop28.4
End31.2