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Red200
295948.1
515279.8
423787.4
Blue165
485569.0
609729.0
612250.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166107050200250300350200165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#18
87.45.0
52.657.6
Auto12.7
Teleop36.1
End38.6
red by 18.3
4855
#28
69.06.1
41.347.4
Auto13.3
Teleop30.5
End25.2
Second
5152
#19
79.85.0
41.746.7
Auto5.9
Teleop36.3
End37.6
red by 29.8
6122
#31
50.06.1
25.731.8
Auto7.4
Teleop32.1
End10.5
Third
2959
#26
48.15.0
55.460.4
Auto8.9
Teleop31.6
End7.7
red by 19.1
6097
#40
29.06.1
42.748.8
Auto4.7
Teleop21.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed