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Red255
656853.4
3620105.0
423787.4
Blue178
194060.7
496771.5
555956.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161184050100250300350400255178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.011.0
73.083.9
Auto14.5
Teleop56.0
End34.5
red by 33.5
4967
#23
71.50.7
68.369.0
Auto14.7
Teleop42.6
End14.1
Second
4237
#18
87.411.0
57.668.6
Auto12.7
Teleop36.1
End38.6
red by 26.6
1940
#13
60.70.7
53.454.1
Auto2.2
Teleop33.6
End24.9
Third
6568
#33
53.411.0
25.636.6
Auto3.5
Teleop22.0
End27.9
blue by 2.8
5559
#14
56.20.4
50.350.7
Auto4.7
Teleop32.1
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed