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Red185
553550.9
191899.5
661557.4
Blue255
592767.5
295948.1
556779.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22217650100150200250300350400185255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.51.5
96.194.6
Auto11.9
Teleop47.5
End40.1
red by 19.7
5567
#20
79.86.0
71.577.5
Auto12.8
Teleop32.4
End34.5
Second
6615
#12
57.41.5
56.555.1
Auto6.2
Teleop22.1
End29.2
blue by 10.1
5927
#24
67.56.0
61.567.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.8
End29.9
Third
5535
#16
50.91.6
52.250.6
Auto3.9
Teleop26.3
End20.7
red by 2.8
2959
#26
48.17.2
40.948.1
Auto8.9
Teleop31.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed