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Red255
440966.3
8588.7
354696.8
Blue260
247489.8
432590.2
423787.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2572880100200400500255260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.80.1
95.695.7
Auto13.5
Teleop49.4
End33.8
red by 6.6
90.20.2
90.790.5
Auto8.7
Teleop33.7
End47.7
Second
85
#2
88.70.1
87.687.7
Auto8.0
Teleop39.0
End41.7
blue by 1.0
89.80.2
90.390.1
Auto9.8
Teleop49.9
End30.1
Third
4409
#21
66.30.1
65.265.3
Auto6.7
Teleop28.4
End31.2
blue by 21.0
4237
#18
87.40.2
87.887.6
Auto12.7
Teleop36.1
End38.6