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Red285
590145.0
481089.9
81575.6
Blue305
468079.8
148191.4
546753.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2132010100300400500285305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.91.9
86.488.3
Auto9.4
Teleop47.6
End32.9
blue by 1.5
91.42.5
80.783.2
Auto11.5
Teleop41.0
End39.0
Second
815
#7
75.61.9
72.174.0
Auto6.5
Teleop38.3
End30.8
blue by 4.2
4680
#25
79.82.5
69.171.6
Auto5.3
Teleop35.5
End38.9
Third
5901
#22
45.01.9
41.543.4
Auto3.7
Teleop25.9
End15.4
blue by 8.0
5467
#37
53.02.5
42.344.8
Auto7.1
Teleop37.5
End8.4