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Red230
659227.3
575663.2
481089.9
Blue185
516749.9
553164.8
468079.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14014604006008001,0001,2001,400230185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.910.0
71.381.2
Auto9.4
Teleop47.6
End32.9
red by 10.1
4680
#25
79.84.9
54.759.6
Auto5.3
Teleop35.5
End38.9
Second
5756
#28
63.210.0
41.351.3
Auto1.4
Teleop30.0
End31.9
blue by 1.5
5531
#19
64.84.9
38.243.1
Auto7.7
Teleop29.8
End27.4
Third
6592
#38
27.310.7
21.432.1
Auto4.8
Teleop20.8
End1.7
blue by 22.6
5167
#33
49.94.9
45.149.9
Auto5.4
Teleop32.5
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed