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Red160
485436.0
118854.8
10754.1
Blue190
481089.9
557743.6
83550.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121174050100150200250300350400160190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#15
54.83.6
42.045.6
Auto9.5
Teleop23.6
End21.8
blue by 35.1
89.93.1
81.284.3
Auto9.4
Teleop47.6
End32.9
Second
107
#34
54.13.6
53.156.7
Auto7.0
Teleop32.9
End14.2
red by 3.3
835
#31
50.83.3
36.539.8
Auto4.4
Teleop23.5
End23.0
Third
4854
#30
36.03.6
27.731.3
Auto9.4
Teleop23.5
End3.1
blue by 7.7
5577
#29
43.63.1
40.443.5
Auto3.2
Teleop23.0
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed