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Red220
557743.6
125061.4
54877.9
Blue200
118854.8
575663.2
546753.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198147050100250300350400220200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#4
77.91.0
76.477.5
Auto12.5
Teleop30.2
End35.3
red by 14.7
5756
#28
63.23.9
58.262.2
Auto1.4
Teleop30.0
End31.9
Second
1250
#26
61.41.0
62.363.3
Auto6.0
Teleop31.9
End23.5
red by 6.6
1188
#15
54.83.9
50.454.3
Auto9.5
Teleop23.6
End21.8
Third
5577
#29
43.61.0
42.643.6
Auto3.2
Teleop23.0
End17.5
blue by 9.4
5467
#37
53.03.9
38.442.3
Auto7.1
Teleop37.5
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed