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Red272
296097.7
33131.0
57359.2
Blue195
6782.8
54877.9
118854.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316210100400500272195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
131.00.3
130.1129.8
Auto13.8
Teleop57.9
End59.2
red by 48.1
67
#8
82.80.5
82.281.7
Auto6.3
Teleop39.4
End37.1
Second
2960
#10
97.70.3
96.996.6
Auto9.7
Teleop37.0
End51.0
red by 19.8
548
#4
77.90.4
77.477.0
Auto12.5
Teleop30.2
End35.3
Third
573
#35
59.20.3
58.358.0
Auto7.6
Teleop28.1
End23.4
red by 4.4
1188
#15
54.80.4
54.353.9
Auto9.5
Teleop23.6
End21.8