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Red271
504881.6
309893.5
2337103.7
Blue318
546092.8
91094.8
81887.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992840100200400500600700271318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.70.7
104.4103.7
Auto18.1
Teleop46.7
End38.9
red by 8.9
910
#8
94.81.0
93.894.8
Auto11.2
Teleop39.3
End44.3
Second
93.50.7
94.293.5
Auto12.4
Teleop51.7
End29.5
red by 0.8
5460
#32
92.81.0
91.792.8
Auto13.3
Teleop50.8
End28.7
Third
5048
#22
81.60.7
82.381.6
Auto9.4
Teleop30.8
End41.5
blue by 5.7
818
#24
87.31.0
86.387.3
Auto7.4
Teleop36.5
End43.4