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Red130
566250.3
615217.2
81887.3
Blue237
661651.9
481093.2
564233.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141169050100200250300130237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#24
87.32.2
60.458.2
Auto7.4
Teleop36.5
End43.4
blue by 5.9
4810
#11
93.25.4
88.693.9
Auto7.1
Teleop49.5
End36.5
Second
5662
#40
50.32.2
43.641.5
Auto9.5
Teleop29.4
End11.4
blue by 1.6
6616
#41
51.98.9
43.752.7
Auto2.8
Teleop16.1
End33.0
Third
6152
#21
17.23.6
33.730.1
Auto7.2
Teleop11.3
End-1.3
blue by 16.0
5642
#23
33.35.4
24.429.7
Auto5.9
Teleop26.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed