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Red221
546092.8
566250.3
91094.8
Blue215
609633.1
226105.5
481147.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2271830100300400500221215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#8
94.80.7
80.981.6
Auto11.2
Teleop39.3
End44.3
blue by 10.6
226
#7
105.52.4
108.6111.0
Auto13.2
Teleop39.5
End52.8
Second
5460
#32
92.80.7
83.384.1
Auto13.3
Teleop50.8
End28.7
red by 45.6
4811
#29
47.12.4
40.743.0
Auto9.7
Teleop27.4
End10.0
Third
5662
#40
50.30.7
45.746.5
Auto9.5
Teleop29.4
End11.4
red by 17.2
6096
#35
33.12.4
30.232.6
Auto4.6
Teleop30.5
End-2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed