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Red310
309660.4
481579.1
57384.3
Blue195
566250.3
285172.2
555560.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2071580100300400310195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#19
84.36.3
71.878.2
Auto7.1
Teleop35.4
End41.8
red by 12.1
2851
#30
72.24.0
70.274.1
Auto5.1
Teleop37.2
End29.9
Second
4815
#14
79.16.3
68.274.5
Auto6.5
Teleop34.6
End37.9
red by 18.4
5555
#39
60.72.5
40.142.7
Auto6.2
Teleop31.8
End22.7
Third
3096
#25
60.46.3
49.956.3
Auto8.0
Teleop37.3
End15.0
red by 10.1
5662
#40
50.32.5
46.549.0
Auto9.5
Teleop29.4
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed