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Red270
481579.1
363258.5
609971.0
Blue330
330286.2
217102.5
564233.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1782210100300400500270330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4815
#14
79.16.0
70.376.3
Auto6.5
Teleop34.6
End37.9
blue by 23.5
217
#20
102.51.7
98.7100.4
Auto8.3
Teleop52.4
End41.8
Second
6099
#12
71.06.0
63.469.4
Auto9.9
Teleop30.4
End30.7
blue by 15.1
86.21.7
78.880.6
Auto6.5
Teleop40.0
End39.7
Third
3632
#31
58.56.0
41.547.5
Auto7.4
Teleop27.2
End24.0
red by 25.2
5642
#23
33.31.7
26.528.3
Auto5.9
Teleop26.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed