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Red172
496191.9
615217.2
2337103.7
Blue195
674245.9
330286.2
481147.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2551710100200300400500172195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.73.9
110.0106.0
Auto18.1
Teleop46.7
End38.9
red by 17.5
86.21.4
84.786.1
Auto6.5
Teleop40.0
End39.7
Second
4961
#16
91.93.9
99.595.6
Auto13.3
Teleop49.2
End29.4
red by 44.8
4811
#29
47.11.4
45.046.4
Auto9.7
Teleop27.4
End10.0
Third
6152
#21
17.24.4
21.617.2
Auto7.2
Teleop11.3
End-1.3
blue by 28.7
6742
#27
45.91.5
44.345.9
Auto2.4
Teleop30.0
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed