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Red175
499467.8
361937.6
504881.6
Blue155
521759.6
481147.1
81887.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2031320100300400175155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5048
#22
81.63.7
69.165.4
Auto9.4
Teleop30.8
End41.5
blue by 5.7
818
#24
87.31.3
60.361.6
Auto7.4
Teleop36.5
End43.4
Second
4994
#18
67.82.2
72.770.5
Auto7.9
Teleop41.7
End18.2
red by 8.2
5217
#38
59.62.2
38.740.9
Auto6.2
Teleop25.1
End28.3
Third
3619
#13
37.63.7
41.537.8
Auto4.6
Teleop32.3
End0.7
blue by 9.5
4811
#29
47.11.3
36.237.6
Auto9.7
Teleop27.4
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed