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Red306
607594.5
609768.3
1711112.3
Blue445
550586.2
4391109.5
439880.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282291200250350400306445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1711
#10
112.30.7
111.6112.3
Auto14.3
Teleop40.1
End58.0
red by 2.9
109.51.6
107.8109.5
Auto14.5
Teleop50.7
End44.3
Second
6075
#18
94.50.7
93.894.5
Auto14.6
Teleop45.5
End34.5
red by 8.3
5505
#19
86.21.6
84.586.2
Auto8.0
Teleop47.6
End30.5
Third
68.30.7
67.568.3
Auto5.1
Teleop35.3
End27.9
blue by 12.2
4398
#23
80.51.6
78.880.5
Auto7.4
Teleop41.4
End31.6