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Red309
609888.0
3688108.2
361891.1
Blue289
437799.7
556090.1
70385.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310286100200400500309289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.20.4
109.4109.8
Auto11.5
Teleop46.0
End50.7
red by 8.5
4377
#22
99.70.3
99.499.7
Auto11.0
Teleop41.4
End47.3
Second
91.10.4
92.392.7
Auto13.6
Teleop40.3
End37.2
red by 1.0
5560
#13
90.10.3
89.790.1
Auto5.5
Teleop40.1
End44.5
Third
6098
#25
88.00.4
89.189.5
Auto10.7
Teleop37.3
End39.9
red by 2.1
703
#36
85.80.3
85.585.8
Auto12.6
Teleop34.4
End38.8