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Red281
542465.3
552576.2
553488.5
Blue185
189655.5
531453.9
523087.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2281640100200300400281185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5534
#35
88.54.9
72.877.6
Auto8.6
Teleop47.0
End32.9
red by 1.4
87.11.4
77.078.4
Auto6.7
Teleop43.9
End36.5
Second
76.24.9
55.059.9
Auto6.2
Teleop36.0
End34.0
red by 20.7
1896
#32
55.51.4
48.049.3
Auto9.0
Teleop33.6
End12.9
Third
5424
#33
65.34.9
80.385.1
Auto4.3
Teleop26.8
End34.2
red by 11.3
5314
#20
53.91.4
39.640.9
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed