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Red240
437799.7
550471.2
437678.7
Blue205
70385.8
498385.7
553488.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2112640100300400500600240205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#22
99.70.5
92.292.7
Auto11.0
Teleop41.4
End47.3
red by 11.2
5534
#35
88.52.6
82.579.9
Auto8.6
Teleop47.0
End32.9
Second
78.70.5
64.164.5
Auto9.8
Teleop35.0
End33.8
blue by 7.2
703
#36
85.82.6
84.682.1
Auto12.6
Teleop34.4
End38.8
Third
5504
#28
71.20.5
51.451.9
Auto6.7
Teleop29.2
End35.3
blue by 14.5
4983
#30
85.72.9
76.673.7
Auto12.3
Teleop39.6
End33.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed