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Red255
439880.5
4391109.5
612180.5
Blue186
607594.5
609768.3
612269.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2571990100300400500600700800255186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.51.2
91.692.9
Auto14.5
Teleop50.7
End44.3
red by 15.0
6075
#18
94.50.7
88.988.2
Auto14.6
Teleop45.5
End34.5
Second
4398
#23
80.51.2
68.369.5
Auto7.4
Teleop41.4
End31.6
red by 10.7
6122
#16
69.80.7
57.256.5
Auto5.0
Teleop43.3
End21.5
Third
6121
#24
80.51.2
76.878.0
Auto11.0
Teleop35.6
End33.8
red by 12.2
68.30.7
50.950.2
Auto5.1
Teleop35.3
End27.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed