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Red260
353792.1
660051.8
612269.8
Blue280
655272.9
552576.2
5110100.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204243100300400500260280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.12.4
87.489.7
Auto6.9
Teleop38.3
End46.9
blue by 8.0
5110
#11
100.13.6
90.494.0
Auto14.5
Teleop43.3
End42.4
Second
6122
#16
69.82.4
61.463.7
Auto5.0
Teleop43.3
End21.5
blue by 6.4
76.23.6
76.179.7
Auto6.2
Teleop36.0
End34.0
Third
6600
#37
51.82.4
50.552.8
Auto5.8
Teleop25.2
End20.8
blue by 21.2
6552
#21
72.93.6
59.463.0
Auto7.5
Teleop32.7
End32.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed