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Red195
607450.7
189655.5
552576.2
Blue255
659942.4
653357.1
5110100.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185184150200250195255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.21.4
79.781.1
Auto6.2
Teleop36.0
End34.0
blue by 23.9
5110
#11
100.15.3
94.099.3
Auto14.5
Teleop43.3
End42.4
Second
1896
#32
55.51.4
46.848.2
Auto9.0
Teleop33.6
End12.9
blue by 1.6
6533
#29
57.15.3
47.953.2
Auto5.0
Teleop26.8
End25.2
Third
50.71.4
48.049.4
Auto3.5
Teleop25.0
End22.1
red by 8.3
6599
#34
42.45.3
33.839.1
Auto8.6
Teleop27.7
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed