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Red255
609888.0
3688108.2
361891.1
Blue311
1711112.3
609768.3
607594.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31029402004006008001,000255311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.20.8
109.8109.0
Auto11.5
Teleop46.0
End50.7
blue by 4.1
1711
#10
112.30.6
114.3114.9
Auto14.3
Teleop40.1
End58.0
Second
91.10.8
92.791.8
Auto13.6
Teleop40.3
End37.2
blue by 3.4
6075
#18
94.50.6
96.597.0
Auto14.6
Teleop45.5
End34.5
Third
6098
#25
88.00.8
89.588.7
Auto10.7
Teleop37.3
End39.9
red by 19.7
68.30.6
70.370.8
Auto5.1
Teleop35.3
End27.9