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Red290
509066.8
67103.4
33126.6
Blue465
2791.3
2137118.7
477969.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3262820100200400500600290465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#6
126.60.3
128.6128.3
Auto16.0
Teleop61.2
End49.3
red by 7.9
118.72.0
116.8118.8
Auto19.1
Teleop46.2
End53.4
Second
67
#1
103.40.3
105.4105.1
Auto11.2
Teleop48.6
End43.5
red by 12.1
27
#19
91.32.0
89.491.4
Auto10.6
Teleop49.5
End31.1
Third
5090
#25
66.80.3
68.868.5
Auto9.8
Teleop27.4
End29.6
blue by 2.4
4779
#31
69.12.0
67.369.3
Auto10.9
Teleop40.2
End18.1