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Red452
477969.1
2137118.7
2791.3
Blue235
54886.7
608572.0
546763.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285220100400500452235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118.72.0
113.0115.0
Auto19.1
Teleop46.2
End53.4
red by 32.0
548
#16
86.70.7
85.284.4
Auto12.3
Teleop41.2
End33.3
Second
27
#19
91.32.0
85.687.6
Auto10.6
Teleop49.5
End31.1
red by 19.3
72.00.7
70.469.7
Auto7.6
Teleop26.6
End37.8
Third
4779
#31
69.12.0
63.565.5
Auto10.9
Teleop40.2
End18.1
red by 5.3
5467
#21
63.90.7
62.361.6
Auto9.9
Teleop36.1
End17.8